An area of low pressure is centered off the coast of South Carolina this morning. An inverted trough containing a stationary front extends north of the low, all the way up to Connecticut. This trough will act as a focal point for precipitation today. This morning it is cold enough for areas of snow and flurries for a while. The eastern 40% of the state should warm enough to go over to all rain by this afternoon. High temperatures there will reach 35-40 later today there. The areas of snow and flurries will change over to rain and freezing rain in central and western Connecticut, where temperatures west of the trough will be colder. Where periods of freezing rain and freezing drizzle continue this afternoon an icy glaze will form on exposed, untreated surfaces. The longest period of icing will likely be in some of the lower elevations of central and western Connecticut. The higher elevations in western Connecticut will likely be sticking up into the milder layer this afternoon, allowing the temperature to rise above freezing. In the lower elevations ice accretion from freezing rain could reach or exceed 0.10” in some cases. I don’t expect Hartford to rise above freezing this afternoon. Snow accumulations this morning will be limited to a dusting to an inch or so in most cases.
Some pockets of icing could hang on into part of tonight, however the precipitation should eventually change to plain rain through most of the state with surface temperatures not changing significantly. A shower or flurry may linger into early Tuesday, otherwise drier air moving in from the northwest will result in a mix of sun & clouds, with temperatures headed for the upper 30’s & low 40’s. The remainder of the week looks dry with above-average temperatures.
Take the ice accumulation below with a grain of salt. But parts of central Connecticut and the Hartford Basin could see 0.10” or more of ice accumulate today.