Update on Today's Mess

Friday, February 25, 2022 - 6:46 A.M.

Based on the temperature aloft and reports of mixed precipitation at the surface, I am reducing my expected snow/sleet accumulations across Connecticut, Rhode Island, and southeastern Massachusetts by 1”-2” compared to yesterday morning’s forecast. I think total snow & sleet accumulations in this region today will be between 1”-6”, highest near the Massachusetts border and lowest toward the coast (parts of the shore could even come in a bit under an inch). It still looks like western Massachusetts will see 6”-12” (generally from south to north), with more than a foot across some of the Green Mountains in Vermont.

Most of the precipitation in Connecticut should wind down during the first half of this afternoon, and I wouldn’t be surprised if portions of Connecticut actually see the sunset this evening, with some partial clearing. It looks like a lingering area of light snow will move back across parts of eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and maybe the northeast corner of Connecticut this evening. Much of CT, RI, and eastern MA will see temperatures rise above freezing later this afternoon. With colder air returning tonight, any water on the ground will freeze into solid ice. Freezing rain and freezing drizzle during the day will produce a trace to a tenth of an inch of ice accretion, and it is possible that a few places could see a bit more than than, though it is difficult to pinpoint where the highest amounts will occur. There may also be some plain light rain or showers/drizzle in parts of CT/RI/southeastern MA during the late morning & early afternoon. Again, any surfaces that become wet from either melting snow/sleet or from rain/drizzle will turn icy tonight as temperatures turn much colder again, unless they are treated or dry off due to evaporation.